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Baseline Risk and Longitudinal Changes in KidneyintelX.dkd and Its Association with Kidney Outcomes in the CANVAS and CREDENCE Trials

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posted on 2025-11-11, 16:38 authored by Erik Moedt, Steven G. Coca, Katherine Edwards, Brendon L. Neuen, Clare Arnott, Stephan J.L. Bakker, Fergus Fleming, Hiddo J.L. Heerspink
<p dir="ltr">Objective</p><p dir="ltr">We aimed to evaluate the prognostic and clinical utility of kidneyintelX.dkd, a biomarker-based risk score, in patients with type 2 diabetes and a broad range of chronic kidney disease (CKD), by assessing its association with kidney outcomes at baseline and longitudinally, comparing it to the established KDIGO risk classification, and examining its responsiveness to canagliflozin. </p><p><br></p><p dir="ltr">Research Design and Methods</p><p dir="ltr">We measured tumor necrosis factor receptor (TNFR)-1, TNFR-2, and kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1) in banked plasma samples at baseline and year 1 and calculated kidneyintelX.dkd scores in participants with CKD G1-G3b from two large randomized controlled trials (CANVAS and CREDENCE). We assessed concordance between KDIGO and kidneyintelX.dkd risk levels, evaluated associations of baseline and 1-year changes in kidneyintelX.dkd with kidney outcomes, and examined treatment effects of canagliflozin versus placebo.</p><p><br></p><p dir="ltr">Results</p><p dir="ltr">Mean kidneyintelX.dkd scores increased across higher KDIGO risk categories, but individual-level differences revealed improved risk reclassification. KidneyintelX.dkd was independently associated with kidney outcomes and more strongly predictive than KDIGO classification. At 1 year, canagliflozin significantly lowered kidneyintelX.dkd score versus placebo, and longitudinal reductions by 1 year were associated with lower subsequent risk of kidney outcomes, independent of changes in eGFR or UACR. Absolute risk reductions with canagliflozin were largest among those at high kidneyintelX.dkd risk.</p><p><br></p><p dir="ltr">Conclusions</p><p dir="ltr">KidneyintelX.dkd adds prognostic value beyond clinical classification, reflects canagliflozin treatment response, and identifies individuals most likely to benefit from therapy. These findings support its role in personalized risk assessment and monitoring in type 2 diabetes and CKD in prospective studies and clinical practice.</p><p><br></p>

Funding

The CANVAS and CREDENCE trials were funded by Janssen Research and Development. Canagliflozin has been developed by Janssen Research and Development, in collaboration with Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharm. This study received funding from the European Union’s HORZION Research and Innovation Actions (HORIZON-HLTH-2022-TOOL-11-01 - Tools and Technologies for a Healthy Society) undertaking under grant agreement No. 101095146 (PRIME-CKD - Personalized Drug Response: IMplementation and Evaluation in CKD).

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